BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Morehead St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 211 Overall: (18-14) Overall Strength =   30.43
Conference: Ohio Valley Record: (12-7) | District: 1-02 Record: (17-11)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L      51.96  59  75    1  13 (23-10) Kentucky               21.97 *  -37.97                      
 2 11-07-2025 Away    W   *  18.65  84  68    1 359 ( 2-30) Bellarmine            -11.34 *   27.34                      
 3 11-13-2025 Away    L   *  21.09  60  76    1 147 (17-12) Ohio                   -8.89     -7.11                      
 4 11-19-2025 Away    L      22.37  49  96    1   8 (27- 7) Louisville             -7.62 *  -39.38                      
 5 11-22-2025 Home    W   *  25.14  78  64    1 339 (12-20) SC Upstate             -4.84     18.84                      
 6 11-26-2025 Home    L   *  22.45  60  73    1 129 (24- 8) Eastern Kentucky       -7.53     -5.47                      
 7 11-30-2025 Home    W   *  46.89  66  56    1 105 (23- 9) Marshall               16.90     -6.90                      
 8 12-03-2025 Home    L   *  33.45  78  85    1  81 (29- 3) Murray St               3.47    -10.47                      
 9 12-07-2025 Away    W   *  27.37  61  54    1 315 ( 5-26) Louisiana              -2.61      9.61                      
10 12-11-2025 Away    L      14.96  48  97    1  25 (22-10) Notre Dame            -15.03 *  -33.97                      
11 12-16-2025 Home    L * *  12.07  63  76    1 234 (15-16) Ark Little Rock       -17.91      4.91                      
12 12-20-2025 Away    L * *  21.94  59  78    1 130 (21-10) Southern Indiana       -8.04    -10.96                      
13 12-28-2025 Home    W      29.99 115  36   ZZ 279 ( 0- 1) Kentucky Chr            0.00 *   79.00                      
14 01-01-2026 Away    W * *  44.90  51  50    1 101 (25- 8) Lindenwood             14.92    -13.92                      
15 01-03-2026 Away    W * *  34.23  54  49    1 246 (16-16) SIUE                    4.25      0.75                      
16 01-08-2026 Home    W * *  41.65  67  49    1 259 (13-17) TN Martin              11.67      6.33                      
17 01-10-2026 Home    W * *  31.34  65  59    1 247 (14-18) SE Missouri St          1.35      4.65                      
18 01-15-2026 Away    L * *  10.85  62  70    1 319 ( 5-24) Tennessee St          -19.14     11.14                      
19 01-17-2026 Away    W * *  32.97  67  66    1 219 (15-14) Tennessee Tech          2.99     -1.99                      
20 01-22-2026 Home    W   *  48.59  63  53    1  96 (26- 5) W Illinois             18.60     -8.60                      
21 01-24-2026 Home    W * *  20.07  52  48    1 314 ( 4-27) E Illinois             -9.92     13.92                      
22 01-29-2026 Home    W * *  27.94  64  60    1 246 (16-16) SIUE                   -2.05      6.05                      
23 01-31-2026 Home    W * *  44.61  69  63    1 101 (25- 8) Lindenwood             14.62     -8.62                      
24 02-05-2026 Away    W * *  44.63  71  57    1 247 (14-18) SE Missouri St         14.65     -0.65                      
25 02-07-2026 Away    L * *  22.95  58  64    1 259 (13-17) TN Martin              -7.04      1.04                      
26 02-12-2026 Home    L * *  23.68  58  61    1 219 (15-14) Tennessee Tech         -6.31      3.31                      
27 02-14-2026 Home    W * *  39.55  79  53    1 319 ( 5-24) Tennessee St            9.57     16.43                      
28 02-19-2026 Away    W * *  25.36  74  70    1 314 ( 4-27) E Illinois             -4.62      8.62                      
29 02-21-2026 Away    L   *  22.88  53  74    1  96 (26- 5) W Illinois             -7.11    -13.89                      
30 02-24-2026 Home    W * *  46.65  73  62    1 130 (21-10) Southern Indiana       16.66     -5.66                      
31 02-26-2026 Away    L * *  25.37  68  73    1 234 (15-16) Ark Little Rock        -4.62     -0.38                      
32 03-05-2026 Neutral L * *  22.99  55  60    1 247 (14-18) SE Missouri St         -7.00      2.00                      
      Averages              29.99  65.1 64.8

Best game:   51.96 = 16 point loss to Kentucky
Worst game:  10.85 = 8 point loss to Tennessee St
Team stdev:  11.33